Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1.335323 1.651176 2.069079 2.685305 3.615574 5.056343 7.681701
2025-11-09 0.964483 1.313022 1.853823 2.838856 4.844461 9.682516 28.986622
2025-11-16 0.758132 1.089730 1.655238 2.838968 5.869850 17.175388 205.878643
2025-11-23 0.620987 0.922582 1.468319 2.722457 6.538041 28.156631 NaN
2025-11-30 0.551715 0.847406 1.416211 2.863776 8.297179 70.000610 NaN
2025-12-07 0.490226 0.770350 1.332821 2.876240 9.762630 200.126041 NaN
2025-12-14 0.435983 0.695586 1.232150 2.784205 10.686337 727.737246 NaN
2025-12-21 0.395820 0.640615 1.160747 2.745444 12.030122 67662.080425 NaN
2025-12-28 0.379211 0.628631 1.184104 3.039759 17.433206 NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.357999 0.603578 1.169252 3.194360 23.256680 NaN NaN
2026-01-11 0.333379 0.567774 1.118811 3.178687 27.417742 NaN NaN
2026-01-18 0.308405 0.528153 1.050596 3.051626 29.194523 NaN NaN
2026-01-25 0.292551 0.506908 1.028920 3.137289 38.588878 NaN NaN
2026-02-01 0.280761 0.493154 1.025200 3.317507 58.801771 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.265554 0.469948 0.990048 3.315166 75.330883 NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.248696 0.441319 0.934297 3.168660 79.727827 NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.240617 0.431907 0.933510 3.345809 141.329041 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.229968 0.415429 0.908407 3.361471 207.296072 NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.217888 0.394547 0.866536 3.245878 236.389110 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.208071 0.378228 0.836637 3.197323 316.822999 NaN NaN
2026-03-22 0.205785 0.379555 0.862730 3.567867 2936.161493 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.200640 0.373458 0.863712 3.764198 NaN NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.193014 0.360621 0.840084 3.744243 NaN NaN NaN